Residual Based Tests for Cointegration with GLS Detrended Data¤

نویسندگان

  • Gabriel Rodriguez
  • Pierre Perron
  • Gabriel Rodríguez
چکیده

We propose residual based tests for cointegration using local GLS detrending (Elliott, Rothemberg and Stock, 1996, ERS) applied separately to each variable of the system. We consider two cases, one where only a constant is included and one where a constant and a time trend are included. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a feasible point optimal test which allows us to derive the power envelope. The quasi-di¤erencing parameter c is selected such as the asymptotic power of the feasible point optimal test is 50.0%. Di¤erent c exists because the limiting distribution of the feasible point optimal test depends of the number of right-hand regressors and the speci...cation of the deterministic components. The limiting distributions of various residuals based tests are derived for a general quasi-di¤erencing parameter c and critical values are tabulated for values of c = 0 irrespective of the nature of the deterministic components and the values suggested by the power envelope. Simulations show that using GLS detrending allows tests with higher power and that using c selected by the power envelope, as the quasi-di¤erencing parameter, according to the two cases analyzed, is preferable. An explanation for this feature is provided.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Cointegration testing under structural change: reducing size distortions and improving power of residual based tests

This paper investigates howstandard residual based tests for cointegration— under structural change in the long run relationship—canbemodified in order to reduce size distortions and improve power, by following the same ideas used in the unit root context. This is a natural strategy given that these tests are unit root statistics applied to estimated residuals from a cointegrating regression. I...

متن کامل

Spurious regression and residual-based tests for cointegration in panel data

In the first half of the paper I study spurious regressions in panel data. Asymptotic properties of the least-squares dummy variable (LSDV) estimator and other conventional statistics are examined. The asymptotics of LSDV estimator are different from those of the spurious regression in the pure time-series. This has an important consequence for residual-based cointegration tests in panel data, ...

متن کامل

A Model of Fractional Cointegration, and Tests for Cointegration Using the Bootstrap∗

The paper proposes a framework for modelling cointegration in fractionally integrated processes, and considers methods for testing the existence of cointegrating relationships using the parametric bootstrap. In these procedures, ARFIMA models are fitted to the data, and the estimates used to simulate the null hypothesis of non-cointegration in a vector autoregressive modelling framework. The si...

متن کامل

A note on power comparison of panel tests of cointegration – An application on health expenditure and GDP

This paper presents a comparison of power of panel tests of cointegration and show how the choice of most powerful test depends on the values of the sample statistics. Country-by-country and panel stationarity and cointegration tests are performed using a panel of 20 OECD countries observed over the period 1971-2004. Residual-based tests and a cointegration rank test in the system of health car...

متن کامل

Corrected portmanteau tests for VAR models with time-varying variance

The problem of test of fit for Vector AutoRegressive (VAR) processes with unconditionally heteroscedastic errors is studied. The volatility structure is deterministic but time-varying and allows for changes that are commonly observed in economic or financial multivariate series such as breaks or smooth transitions. Our analysis is based on the residual autocovariances and autocorrelations obtai...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2002